SignalMacro

CBOE Skew Index $145.72 ↓ 1.9% 85th %ile (tail_risk) • KXINX 9.5% — 7,825 to 7,850

Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

What changed

Kalshi: KXINX 9.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7825 and 7849.9999 on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Percentile: 85th in 90d range | Regime: tail_risk

Why it matters

CBOE Skew at 92nd percentile signals elevated tail risk, amplified by KXINX's 9.5% probability on S&P 500 range.

Sources

futures